Yuan stagnates as COVID outbreaks and housing sector woes hurt outlook

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SHANGHAI — The Chinese yuan was roughly stable
against the dollar on Tuesday, as traders took stock of the
economic impact of new COVID-19 clusters and government
efforts to support the struggling real estate sector.
The market was also closely watching the approach to the center
banking meetings and Wednesday setting of China’s benchmark
lending rates, which some expect will remain unchanged.
The onshore yuan changed hands at 6.7472 to
noon, slightly weaker than the previous close at the end of the session,
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after China’s central bank sets softer median rate
.
China has reported 776 new cases of coronavirus, raising fears
new activity restrictions to curb epidemics. But the
concern was offset by investor optimism that the Chinese
government had taken initiatives to stabilize the beleaguered population
real estate sector, where a wave of buyers refused
pay off mortgages on unfinished homes.
« Overall, the real estate market rout is far from abating.
and optimism can evaporate quickly,” warned Ken Cheung,
strategist at Mizuho Bank Ltd.
“It will take time to restore confidence in the property
sector and complete unfinished residential projects.
Central bank moves are also a focus.
Markets expect interest rates to rise 75 basis points to
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the US Federal Reserve meeting next week, moving away
earlier bets that rates could rise by as much as 100 basis points.
China, which eased its monetary policy to stimulate growth,
will set the benchmark lending prime rate (LPR) on Wednesday. Swiss
UBP bank expects China to keep its one-year LPR peg unchanged
at 3.7%.
“Window to cut rates is now closed, as CPI nears
to the PBOC’s 3.0% target amid peak Fed ferocity, » UBP wrote,
referring to the People’s Bank of China (PBOC).
MayBank said in a note that the mixed risk narrative – housing
and COVID risks at play as authorities pledge to strengthen
economic support – in the context of broader fluctuations in the dollar,
yuan to see more short-term two-way fluctuations.
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The yuan market at 06:07 GMT:
SPOT ON LAND:
Article Current Previous Edit
PBOC Midpoint 6.7451 6.7447 -0.01%
Spot Yuan 6.7471 6.7455 -0.02%
Divergence from 0.03%
environment*
One-off change since the start of the year -5.81%
One-off change since 2005 22.67%
revaluation
Key indexes:
Article Current Previous Edit
Thomson 0.0
Reuters/HKEX
CNH Index
Dollar index 107.384 107.366 0.0
*Divergence of the dollar/yuan exchange rate. Negative number
indicates that the spot yuan is trading stronger than the midpoint.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) allows the exchange rate to
increase or decrease by 2% from the official median rate it sets
Morning.
CNH OFFSHORE MARKET
Instrument current difference
earthen
Offshore Spot Yuan 6.7516 -0.07%
*
Offshore 6.708 0.55%
not available
forward
**
*Premium for offshore spot on onshore
**Figure reflects difference from official PBOC midpoint,
since non-deliverable futures are settled relative to the midpoint.
.
(Reporting by Shanghai Newsroom; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)
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