Poll predicts outcome of possible Trump-Biden rematch in 2024 – Reuters

Former US President Donald Trump has taken an early lead over incumbent Joe Biden in a potential rematch in the 2024 election, according to a new Emerson College poll.

The survey was conducted on June 28-29 and puts support for Trump at 44% in a hypothetical election, while Biden is just 39%. Another 12% would vote for someone else, with 5% still on the fence. Trump has also managed to keep his share of backers intact since the same poll was taken in May, while Biden’s support has fallen 42%.

The poll also found that most Americans disapprove of President Biden (53%), Congress (70%) and the Supreme Court (54%). Meanwhile, Biden has a 40% approval rating, a two-point increase from last month.

In the midterm elections scheduled for November, 46% of Americans plan to vote for their Republican candidate for Congress, with 43% of respondents planning to support the Democrats. Those numbers have remained relatively unchanged from last month, with Republicans having a 3% advantage over Democrats, at 45% and 42% respectively.

Meanwhile, although former President Trump has repeatedly hinted that he will seek re-election in 2024, he has yet to officially announce his candidacy.

Last year, President Biden confirmed his intention to seek re-election, with Vice President Kamala Harris likely taking her place alongside him as running mate. However, some Democrats question whether he should actually run for office. Citing « dozens of frustrated Democratic officials, congressmen and voters, » the New York Times suggested in a report last month that incumbent President Joe Biden could be replaced as the party’s nominee in 2024. However , the Times declined to release the names of any viable alternative Democratic candidates who had not already lost to Biden in the 2020 primary.

A recent Harvard CAPS-Harris poll seen by the Hill showed just 29% of Americans want Biden to run again in 2024, with 71% of respondents opposing his possible re-election.

Nonetheless, according to the Emerson College survey, most Democratic voters (64%) still think Biden should be the party’s nominee in 2024, while 36% are unhappy with the prospect. Former President Trump would likely be the GOP’s top front-runner, with 55% saying they would back him in the Republican primaries. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who is widely seen as a potential candidate if Trump decides to stay in retirement, got 20%.

Democrats currently hold a slim majority in the US Senate and House. However, unless they find a way to build public trust and provide solutions to a number of issues facing ordinary Americans, the party could end up losing at least one chamber to Republicans. whether polls indicate how people intend to vote in Midterm 2022.

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