The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a lifeless 40-3 loss at home to the Dallas Cowboys in a game where they have been outplayed every game. However, now seems like a good time to buy low on Minnesota against the New England Patriots Thanksgiving night.
The Patriots are coming off an unlikely last-second win over the Jets and Bill Belichick has his team in playoff contention once again. New England has three straight wins, but those wins have come against the Jets (twice) and Indianapolis. The Patriots step up in class on Thursday, especially when it comes to the Minnesota offense.
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Belichick is a master at stopping below average quarterbacks. Say what you want about Kirk Cousins, but he’s a major improvement over Zach Wilson and Sam Ehlinger. The Pats have feasted on bad quarterbacks this year, beating Wilson twice, Ehlinger, Jacoby Brissett, Mitch Trubisky and Jared Goff. Meanwhile, New England’s losses have come to Tua Tagovailoa, Lamar Jackson, Aaron Rodgers and Justin Fields.
Betting on the NFL?
I don’t expect the game to be a blowout. The Patriots have a good defense and betting Cousins in a primetime game won’t lead to an early retirement. Still, that number is a little on the low side in my opinion. I will catch the better team at home after an embarrassing loss to cover less than a basket.
Patriots pick vs. Vikings: Vikings -2.5