NFL PICKS WEEK 6: Steelers and Pickett have another tough week

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Lines are from covers.com and home teams are in CAP.

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CHICAGO -1 over Washington

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These teams really upped the ante for bad football after TNF last week. Justin Fields and Carson Wentz are some of the worst QBs in the league and Ron Rivera probably won’t last much longer.

Tampa Bay -8.5 over PITTSBURGH

While we don’t expect total dominance like the Bills did against the Steelers last week, the Bucs won’t take the sweetness away from them either. Kenny Pickett gets a baptism of fire, but at least he learns early what it’s like to face the best in the league.

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NEW ORLEANS +1.5 on Cincinnati

The Bengals felt that post-Super Bowl hangover that many — including me — expected. The Saints can put Joe Burrow under pressure and Tee Higgins’ ankle injury is a concern. With Jameis Winston likely back and Taysom Hill still ready to do his thing, we’ll take the dog home.

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Jacksonville +2.5 on INDIANAPOLIS

The house has won the last eight games in this rivalry, but the Colts have struggled a lot this season. And with Jonathan Taylor unlikely to play, Indy’s offense inspires no confidence. Trevor Lawrence has slipped the past two games but can turn things around here.

New England +3 on CLEVELAND

Hosses on the line will love this one, with both sides heavily focused on their rushing attacks. Jacoby Brissett has been terrible with late turnovers and if there’s one opposing coach who will put him in pressure situations, it’s Bill Belichick.

New York Jets +7 over GREEN BAY

Surprisingly enough, the Jets aren’t that much worse than the Packers so far this season. Aaron Rodgers and the offense have seen their level drop and the defense has not lived up to expectations either. New York should at least sneak in some backcover.

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Baltimore -5.5 on the NEW YORK GIANTS

It seems like everyone is rushing this week to congratulate the Giants on their 4-1, but those wins aren’t exactly against top opponents. The team still places in the bottom third of DVOA and faces an MVP candidate in Lamar Jackson. The Ravens should also know all of Giants DC Wink Martindale’s schemes after letting him go offseason. The status of Saquon Barkley also worries us.

MIAMI +3.5 over Minnesota

Skylar Thompson starts for the Dolphins, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence, but at least he’ll have a week of practice under his belt. The Vikings defense isn’t together yet, which leads us to believe it will be tight.

San Francisco -5.5 over ATLANTA

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The Falcons are undefeated against the spread, but that run is about to end. 49ers are ranked third overall by DVOA while Falcons are down 21^st. Without Cordarelle Patterson and Kyle Pitts, the Falcons lacked offensive weapons while the Niners handled the ball incredibly well.

Caroline +10.5 on LA RAMS

With Matt Rhule gone and Baker Mayfield out, the Rams could be the cure for what ails the Panthers. LA is a bevy of problems on offense and will face a Carolina defense that has impressive plays. The Rams are also worse than Carolina in the DVOA standings.

SEATTLE +2.5 over Arizona

The Cards look like a mess and Kliff Kingsbury is now the favorite to be the next dismissed manager despite being granted an extension this offseason. The Seahawks were a pleasant surprise with Geno Smith playing as one of the most effective QBs in the league.

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KANSAS CITY +2.5 on Buffalo

It’s going to be a very, very long time before you can get Patrick Mahomes back as your pet dog, so we’ll get to that now.

PHILADELPHIA -6 against Dallas

The Cowboys impressed with the absence of Dak Prescott, winning all four of their games with Cooper Rush initially. But they didn’t face a team as good as the Eagles, battering bad offensive lines along the way. With Micah Parsons ill, Dallas’ pass rush may struggle to pressure Jalen Hurts.

LA CHARGERS -5 over Denver

Sure, the Broncos have the extra rest and it’s a division rivalry game, but how can you trust them? The Chargers have their own injury issues, but the home side have won each of the last five meetings between these two. Austin Ekeler has found the end zone five times in the last two games and is expected to do it again.

Last week: 7-8-1

This season: 34-43-3

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