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Europe’s heatwave is no surprise – it’s a warning of what inaction could mean for our future

Europe is living through a disaster movie.

Unprecedented temperatures — 47°C in Portugal this weekend; nearly 40C in parts of Britain on Monday – killed 1,000 people. The roads of France are threatened with literally melting. Railroads are in danger of burning. Airport runways are forced to close. Wildfires are spreading across several countries as thousands of people evacuate their homes.

« In some parts of the southwest, it will be a heat apocalypse, » meteorologist Francois Gourand told AFP news agency of the heatwave in France.

At one point this may have sounded like hyperbole, but the fact is that every year countries around the world are breaking long-standing temperature records – as we saw in British Columbia last year – then thousands of people die.

None of this should shock anyone. Climatologists have been sounding the alarm for decades, warning of the increasing frequency and intensity of heat waves and droughts.

Asked if this type of heat wave surprises him, climatologist Michael Mann replied in an email: « Unfortunately, no. We have seen a recurring pattern of a very wavy jet stream this summer. This pattern is associated with events we are seeing right now in the United States and Europe. »

When the first Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was published in 1990, it looked at the potential increase in heat waves, stating: « Some scientists believe that in a warmer climate , Earth can be expected to experience more variable weather patterns than it does today, with a likelihood of more floods and droughts, more intense hurricanes or typhoons, and more heat waves . »

There have been four more assessment reports since then, with increasingly strong language about how the world must limit warming to 1.5C above the pre-industrial average or it will face consequences disastrous.

But these reports aren’t just about the future – at around 1.2C of warming right now, we’re already seeing the effects of climate change, especially in the summer months.

Worse, Mann said, is that climatologists may have underestimated long-term forecasts of heat waves. Read the full story here.

beat the heat

(Lisi Niesner/Reuters)

Beachgoers cool off in the North Sea to escape the heat at Viking Bay in Broadstairs, England. Check out more photos from the heat wave hitting the UK and Europe.

In short

Patrick Brown says the Conservative Party did not want a competitive leadership election and would have made up any story necessary to disqualify him from the race to succeed Erin O’Toole. Since being ousted from the leadership race earlier this month for alleged violations of campaign finance laws, Brown has repeatedly claimed that his removal was due to corruption within the party and the collusion with campaign leader Pierre Poilievre. Poilievre’s party and campaign deny this. « The party would have fabricated anything to disqualify me from the race, » Brown said on CBC News Network. power and politics In Monday. « Unfortunately, the Federal Conservative Party didn’t want competitive elections. They didn’t want fair and free elections, » he said. « They have a coronation in mind and I don’t think it’s good for the party. » Brown made the remarks hours after announcing he would enter the race for a second term as mayor of Brampton, Ont., although he initially said his team was pursuing a legal challenge to his disqualification from the Conservative leadership election. Read the full story here.

WATCH | “No wrongdoing,” in the campaign, Brown says:

Patrick Brown addresses disqualification from Federal Conservative leadership race

A lawsuit against the Newfoundland and Labrador government over the use of solitary confinement is gaining momentum with dozens of people telling stories inside provincial correctional facilities. Lawyer Jim Locke, who works with Mount Pearl-based law firm Morris Martin Moore, said around 120 people had approached the law firm with experiences of solitary confinement and segregation over the past three decades . « I’ve heard a lot of descriptions that I think would shock and surprise a lot of people, » Locke said. « It wouldn’t be uncommon for there to be urine, feces, blood on the walls. The description I’ve heard is just conditions generally unfit to house an animal, frankly, not to mention a human. » The Supreme Court of Newfoundland and Labrador certified the class action in the fall of 2021, clearing the way for legal proceedings. The complaint alleges that the use of solitary confinement for 15 days or more violates the rights of detainees and that it « constitutes cruel and unusual treatment ». Read more about this story here.

A woman from Sudbury, Ontario says her Jamaican husband has been denied residency in Canada and they are appealing the decision of immigration officials, but in the meantime he may miss the birth of their child in October. Ariella Ladouceur said she and Cordell James got married in October 2020 and recent efforts to bring him to Canada have been unsuccessful. The couple met in 2018 while working for the same airline. In June, Ladouceur and her husband met with a Canadian immigration officer in Kingston, Jamaica, and it didn’t go well, she said. She said the immigration officer told her that they often see cases where Jamaican men who already have children divorce their Canadian wives after emigrating and then bring their partners over from Jamaica. Learn more here.

Canada’s national women’s soccer team missed its direct entry into the 2024 Paris Olympics when it lost 1-0 to the United States on a late penalty Monday in Monterrey, Mexico. Alex Morgan scored the decisive goal in the 78th minute for the American team. Reigning Olympic champions Canada will now have to overtake Jamaica in a series scheduled for September 2023 to clinch their ticket to Paris. Learn more about the game here.

WATCH | USA beat Canada to secure Olympic berth:

USA claim CONCACAF W title with win over Canada

Now, some good news to start your Tuesday: Youth sports can be expensive for parents looking to enroll their kids, but a Calgary dad is volunteering his time to make it easier for other families. Angel Martinez coaches the Calgary Bulls basketball team almost every weeknight. « Yeah, it’s a lot of work, but I love this game, » Martinez explained. « I can see the results, so it’s my paycheck for me. It’s the money. » Not only does Martinez spend his time teaching the Under-16 team at no cost to players, but he also strives to make other aspects of the sport cheaper. He painted the lines on the outdoor basketball court they use at his local community association, researched equipment to donate, and found a sponsor to help afford pro jerseys. « This team doesn’t exist without Angel, » said Mark Bromley, who spends his free evenings helping Martinez coach the Bulls. Learn more about Martinez here.

Opinion: In remote communities in northern Ontario, climate change has set reconciliation on fire

We don’t hear much about the impact of climate change on Indigenous reconciliation, but the impact is clear and potentially disastrous, writes Tom Kehoe. Read the column here.

First Person: A Ruptured Brain Aneurysm Was The Red Flag That Changed My Life

Roxanne Beaubien was drifting into a life of parties and drinking when a light pop in her head changed everything. Read his column here.

Front burner | Everything is expensive Part II: Interest rates

You’ve heard it here before: everything is expensive these days.

In May, Canada’s inflation rate was 7.7%, the highest since 1983. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has warned that the rate is expected to climb to more than 8% this week.

In response, Canada’s central bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points, or one percentage point, to 2.5%, the biggest hike in more than two decades.

Today, CBC business writer Pete Evans explains the impact the decision could have on Canadians’ debt levels, the economy as a whole and fears that a recession is imminent .

Today in History: July 19

1903: Maurice Garin of France wins the first Tour de France. Sixty runners contested the inaugural race, which took place from July 1 to 19 in six stages over 2,428 kilometers.

1921: The ban comes into force in Ontario. It remained in place until 1927.

1937: Canada’s first bilingual currency is issued by the Bank of Canada.

1957: The first American rocket with an atomic warhead is tested in the Nevada desert.