A best practice when it comes to betting on player props is to take a position on how you think a given game will play out and then make correlated bets based on that assumption. For example, if you think a given game will have many scores, you’ll want to find bets that fit that pattern, such as a first period or alternate spread.
The same thing rings true the other way around. If you think a game will be low event, there are plenty of bets on the board that will correlate to that game script.
And although the first three games of the Stanley Cup Finals between the Colorado Avalanche and the Tampa Bay Lightning have exceeded the total, there are signs that Game 4 is pretty stiff.
Here are some prop bets that add value in this type of gaming environment:
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Stanley Cup Final Game 4: Best Prop Bets Avalanche vs. Lightning
Total first period Under 0.5 goals (+370) Caesars Sportsbook
The Avalanche and Lightning have scored 10 first-period goals in three games in the Stanley Cup Final, so a bet on the teams tied 0-0 at intermission might seem a bit silly, but it doesn’t. wouldn’t be surprising to see these two teams playing a more cautious style of hockey from the get-go.
For Colorado, it might seem counterintuitive, but the Avs have shown they’re comfortable with lousy play this postseason, especially on the road. Also, it’s imperative for the Avs to get struggling goaltender Darcy Kuemper back into shape, and playing their run-and-gun style puts more pressure on their goaltender. Playing the game a little closer to the vest should allow Kuemper to work his way into the competition on Wednesday night.
We know the Lightning prefer to keep games predictable and will be desperate to avoid allowing the first goal for the fourth straight game, so a slow start to Game 4 doesn’t seem so crazy.
Andrei Vasilevskiy to announce shutout (+1450) BetMGM
The Colorado Avalanche do not get a shutout. Wednesday night will be the 100th game the Avs have played this campaign (regular season and playoffs) and they’ve been shut out once. This begs the question: why would you bet on them to set up a goose egg?
Everything in betting comes down to price, and getting those kind of odds on the best goalkeeper in the world to kick a shutout is always worth considering, no matter the opponent.
Also, building on the point above, there seems to be a decent chance that this is a pretty stiff game with scoring chances at a premium. If this is how this contest is going, then Vasilevskiy is live to do something heroic.
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Corey Perry Anytime Goalscorer (+310)/First Goalscorer (+2000) — BetMGM
We saw vintage Corey Perry in Game 3. Sure, the former NHL Most Valuable Player got on the scoresheet, but more importantly, he was an absolute pain in the you-know -what for Kuemper and the Avalanche defense.
Perry’s role in this series should only grow as Brayden Point seems doubtful of playing another game. This means Perry will move up to the third line with Nick Paul and Ross Colton, and take Point’s place. on Tampa Bay’s first power play alongside Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman and Anthony Cirelli.
GB2