Asian currencies rise against dollar as investors brace for Powell, US jobs report

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Emerging Asian currencies have appreciated
Wednesday against the US dollar, which plunged as investors
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turned cautious ahead of US Federal Reserve comments
President Jerome Powell later in this session and the crucial United States
monthly employment report on Friday.
Malaysian ringgit, South Korean won and Thai baht
traded higher as investors also braced for a rate decision
the Bank of Thailand.
Gains in riskier emerging market assets came even as
Chinese data showed factory activity around the world
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the second-largest economy contracted at a faster pace in November.
The US dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of major currencies, fell 0.13% to 106.72.
“There is room for the dollar to relax a bit, but I
basically think there is still a bit of uncertainty
in 2023,” said Galvin Chia, emerging markets strategist for
Natwest Markets.
Emerging markets were sensitive to US rates
outlook, as aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve
this year has supported the dollar, putting pressure on the
currencies.
Many central banks in emerging Asia have sought to
support rate hikes in the United States to limit the risk of capital outflows.
In this context, Chia expected the Federal Open Market
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The committee meeting and printing of the November CPI in the United States is scheduled for
mid-December to watch closely.
In Asia, the Malaysian ringgit led the gains,
appreciating 0.8% and was on track for its best month since
March 2016. It has increased by more than 2% since Malaysia’s Anwar
Ibrahim was sworn in as prime minister last week but is still
down 6.5% since the start of the year.
The South Korean won rose 0.7% and was on track to
its biggest monthly gain since March 2016.
The Thai baht rose 0.3% and stocks gained
0.1% ahead of Bank of Thailand rate decision. Analysts in
a Reuters poll widely expects a modest 25 basis points
ascend.
Chia said the baht’s recent gains reflect optimism about
Thailand’s economic recovery which has lagged behind some of its peers.
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“The Thai baht has been a way of expressing (the) reopening
the dynamics and economic catch-up of the Southeast Asia region,
especially when it comes to things like tourism.
Thailand’s economy may miss expected 3.8% growth
next year due to a global economic slowdown, but this year
growth prospects of 3.4% should still be achieved, said the
the country’s finance minister on Tuesday.
The Indonesian rupiah strengthened 0.1%, ending a three-day period
a losing streak, while stocks added 0.1%. The currency has
lost 0.95% so far this month.
Indonesian central bank governor Perry Warjiyo said
Wednesday that energy subsidies next year will allow the Bank
Indonesia (BI) to raise interest rates in a measured way.
Across the region, stocks were mixed: India surged
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0.1%, Taiwan and South Korea up 0.8%
and 0.9%, respectively, while Singapore lost 0.2%.
STRONG POINTS:
**Indonesian benchmark 10-year yields are almost stable at 6.983%
** Thai industrial production unexpectedly drops 3.71% YoY in October
**Philippines central bank sees November inflation at
7.4-8.2%
** Markets in the Philippines are closed to the public
holiday
Asian Stock Indices and Currencies at 0428 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX YTD INDEX STOCKS STOCKS
DAILY % % DAILY YTD %
%
Japan +0.07 -16.96 -0.46 -3.10
China
India +0.11 -8.94 0.14 7.44
Indonesiasi +0.06 -9.41 0.53 7.11
a
Malaysia +0.69 -6.93 -0.02 -3.95
Philippi – -9.85 – -4.80
nes
South Korea
Singapore +0.22 -1.59 -0.16 4.72
e
Taiwan +0.22 -10.39 0.77 -18.64
Thailand +0.41 -5.46 0.25 -1.76
(Reporting by Roushni Nair in Bengaluru; Editing by Ana
Nicolas de Costa)
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